References
AEBISCHER, N.J. 1995. Philopatry and colony fidelity of Shags Phalacrocorax aristotelis on the east coast of Britain. Ibis 137: 11-18.
AEBISCHER, N.J. & COULSON, J.C. 1990. Survival of the kittiwake in relation to sex, year, breeding experience and position in the colony. Journal of Animal Ecology 59: 1063-1071.
AINLEY, D.G., FORD, R.G., BROWN, E.D., SURYAN, R.M. & IRONS, D.B. 2003. Prey resources, competition, and geographic structure of kittiwake colonies in Prince William Sound. Ecology 84: 709-723.
ARNOLD, T.W. 2010. Uninformative parameters and model selection using Akaike's information criterion. Journal of Wildlife Management 74: 1175-1178.
ASHBROOK, K., WANLESS, S., HARRIS, M.P. & HAMER, K.C. 2010. Impacts of poor food availability on positive density dependence in a highly colonial seabird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 277: 2355-2360.
ATWOOD, J.L. & MASSEY, B.W. 1988. Site fidelity of Least Terns in California. The Condor 90: 389-394.
AUBRY, L.M., CAM, E., KOONS, D.N., MONNAT, J.-Y. & PAVARD, S. 2011. Drivers of age-specific survival in a long-lived seabird: Contributions of observed and hidden sources of heterogeneity. Journal of Animal Ecology 80: 375-383.
AUBRY, L.M., KOONS, D.N., MONNAT, J.-Y. & CAM, E. 2009. Consequences of recruitment decisions and heterogeneity on age-specific breeding success in a long-lived seabird. Ecology 90: 2491-2502.
BOSMAN, D.S., VERCRUIJSSE, H.J., STIENEN, E.W., VINCX, M., & LENS, L. 2013. Age of first breeding interacts with pre-and post-recruitment experience in shaping breeding phenology in a long-lived gull. PLoS One 8: e82093.
BOULINIER, T., MCCOY, K.D., YOCCOZ, N.G., GASPARINI, J. & TVERAA, T. 2008. Public information affects breeding dispersal in a colonial bird: Kittiwakes cue on neighbours. Biology Letters 4: 538-540.
BOULINIER, T. & DANCHIN, E. 1997. The use of conspecific reproductive success for breeding patch selection in terrestrial migratory species. Evolutionary Ecology 11: 505:517.
BRIED, J. & JOUVENTIN, P. 2002. Site and mate choice in seabirds: An evolutionary approach. In: SCHREIBER, E.A. & BURGER, J. (Eds.) Biology of Marine Birds. Boca Raton, USA: CRC Press.
BUCKLEY, N.J. 1997. Spatial-concentration effects and the importance of local enhancement in the evolution of colonial breeding in seabirds. The American Naturalist 149: 1091-1112.
BURNHAM, K.P. & ANDERSON, D.R. 1998. Model Selection and Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach. New York, USA: Springer-Verlag.
BYRD, G.V., SCHMUTZ, J.A., & RENNER, H.M. 2008. Contrasting population trends of piscivorous seabirds in the Pribilof Islands: A 30-year perspective. Deep-Sea Research Part II 55: 1846-1855.
BYRD, G.V. & WILLIAMS, J.C. 1993. Red-legged Kittiwake (Rissa brevirostris), version 2.0. In: POOLE, A.F. & GILL, F.B. (Eds.) The Birds of North America Online. Ithaca, USA: Cornell Lab of Ornithology. [Available online at https://birdsna.org/Species-Account/bna/species/relkit/introduction/, accessed February 2017.]
CADIOU, B. 1999. Attendance of breeders and prospectors reflects the quality of colonies in the Kittiwake Rissa tridactyla. Ibis 141: 321-326.
CAIRNS, D.K. 1988. Seabirds as indicators of marine food supplies. Biological Oceanography 5: 261-271.
CAIRNS, D.K. 1989. The regulation of seabird colony size: A hinterland model. The American Naturalist 134: 141-146.
CAM, E., CADIOU, B., HINES, J.E. & MONNAT, J.-Y. 2002. Influence of behavioral tactics on recruitment and reproductive trajectory in the Kittiwake. Journal of Applied Statistics 29: 163-185.
CAM, E., COOCH, E.G. & MONNAT, J.-Y. 2005. Earlier recruitment or earlier death? On the assumption of equal survival in recruitment studies. Ecological Monographs 75: 419-434.
CAM, E., MONNAT, J.-Y. & HINES, J.E. 2003. Long-term fitness consequences of early conditions in the kittiwake. Journal of Animal Ecology 72: 411-424.
CHAPDELAINE, G. & BROUSSEAU, P. 1989. Size and trends of Black-legged Kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla) populations in the Gulf of St. Lawrence (Quebec) 1974-1985. American Birds 43: 21-24.
CLANCY, C.F., O'CALLAGHAN, M.J.A. & KELLY, T.C. 2006. A multi-scale problem arising in a model of avian flu virus in a seabird colony. Journal of Physics: Conference Series 55: 45-54.
CLODE, D. 1993. Colonial breeding seabirds: Predators or prey? Trends in Ecology and Evolution 8: 336-338.
COULSON, J.C. 1966. The influence of the pair-bond and age on the breeding biology of the Kittiwake Gull Rissa tridactyla. Journal of Animal Ecology 35: 269-279.
COULSON, J.C. 2002. Colonial breeding in seabirds. In: SCHREIBER, E.A. & BURGER, J. (Eds.) Biology of Marine Birds. New York, USA: CRC Press.
COULSON, J.C. & OUELLET, H. 1988. Lifetime reproductive success in the black-legged kittiwake (Rissa tridactyla). In: OUELLET, H. (Ed.) Acta XIX Congressus Internationalis Ornithologici, Volume 2. Ottawa, Canada: University of Ottawa Press.
COULSON, J.C. & COULSON, B.A. 2008. Measuring immigration and philopatry in seabirds; recruitment to Black-legged Kittiwake colonies. Ibis 150: 288-299.
COULSON, J.C. & NÈVE DE MÉVERGNIES, G. 1992. Where do young kittiwakes Rissa tridactyla breed, philopatry or dispersal. Ardea 80: 187-197.
COULSON, J.C. & THOMAS, C.S. 1985. Changes in the biology of the kittiwake Rissa tridactyla: A 31-year study of a breeding colony. Journal of Animal Ecology 54: 9-26.
COULSON, J.C. & WOOLLER, R.D. 1984. Incubation under natural conditions in the kittiwake gull, Rissa tridactyla. Animal Behavior 32: 1204-1215.
CRESPIN, L., HARRIS, M.P., LEBRETON, J.-D., FREDERIKSEN, M. & WANLESS, S. 2006. Recruitment to a seabird population depends on environmental factors and on population size. Journal of Animal Ecology 75: 228-238.
DAHDUL, W.M. & HORN, M.H., 2003. Energy allocation and postnatal growth in captive Elegant Tern (Sterna elegans) chicks: Responses to high- versus low-energy diets. The Auk 120: 1069-1081.
DANCHIN, E. & MONNAT, J.-Y. 1992. Population-dynamics modeling of two neighboring Kittiwake Rissa tridactyla colonies. Ardea 80: 171-180.
DANCHIN, E., BOULINIER, T. & MASSOT, M. 1998. Conspecific reproductive success and breeding habitat selection: Implications for the study of coloniality. Ecology 79: 2415-2428.
DELANY, S. & SCOTT, D. 2006. Waterbird Population Estimates, 4th Edition. Wageningen, Netherlands: Wetlands International.
DESCAMPS, S., LE BOHEC, C., LE MAHO, Y., GENDNER, J.-P. & GAUTHIER-CLERC, M. 2009. Relating demographic performance to breeding-site location in the King Penguin. The Condor 111: 81-87.
EGGERS, S., GRIESSER, M., NYSTRAND, M. & EKMAN, J. 2006. Predation risk induces changes in nest-site selection and clutch size in the Siberian Jay. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 273: 701-706.
EARTH SYSTEM RESEARCH LABORATORY (ESRL) 2016a. Niño 3.4 SST Index (anomaly; 1981-2010 mean removed): Standard PSD Format. Boulder, USA: Earth System Research Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. [Available online at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/gcos_wgsp/Timeseries/Data/nino34.long.anom.data, accessed July 2016.]
ESRL 2016b [Online]. NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Monthly Means and Other Derived Variables, Daily Global Analyses data. Boulder, USA: Earth System Research Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. [Available online at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.ncep.reanalysis.derived.surfaceflux.html, accessed July 2016.]
ESRL 2016c. NOAA Optimum Interpolation (OI) Sea Surface Temperature (SST) V2 data. Boulder, USA: Earth System Research Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. [Available online at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/gridded/data.noaa.oisst.v2.html, accessed July 2016.]
FERNÁNDEZ-CHACÓN, A., GENOVART, M., PRADEL, R. ET AL. 2013. When to stay, when to disperse and where to go: Survival and dispersal patterns in a spatially structured seabird population. Ecography 36: 1117-1126.
FINNEY, S.K., HARRIS, M.P., KELLER, L.F., ELSTON, D.A., MONAGHAN, P. & WANLESS, S. 2003. Reducing the density of breeding gulls influences the pattern of recruitment of immature Atlantic Puffins Fratercula arctica to a breeding colony. Journal of Applied Ecology 40:545-552.
FORBES, L.S. & KAISER, G.W. 1994. Habitat choice in breeding seabirds: When to cross the information barrier. Oikos 70: 377-384.
FORERO, M.G., TELLA, J.L., HOBSON, K.A., BERTELLOTTI, M. & BLANCO, G. 2002. Conspecific food competition explains variability in colony size: A test in Magellanic Penguins. Ecology 83: 3466-3475
FREDERIKSEN, M. & BREGNBALLE, T. 2001. Conspecific reproductive success affects age of recruitment in a great cormorant, Phalacrocorax carbo sinensis, colony. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 268: 1519-1526.
GILL, V.A & HATCH, S.A. 2002. Components of productivity in Black-legged Kittiwakes Rissa tridactyla: Response to supplemental feeding. Journal of Avian Biology 33: 113-126.
GOLET, G.H., SCHMUTZ, J.A., IRONS, D.B. & ESTES, J.A. 2004. Determinants of reproductive costs in the long-lived Black-legged Kittiwake: A multiyear experiment. Ecological Monographs 74: 353-372.
GOODMAN, D. 1984. Risk spreading as an adaptive strategy in iteroparous life histories. Theoretical Population Biology 25: 1-20.
GRÉMILLET, D., DELL'OMO, G., RYAN, P.G., PETERS, G., ROPERT-COUDERT, Y. & WEEKS, S.J. 2004. Offshore diplomacy, or how seabirds mitigate intra-specific competition: A case study based on GPS tracking of Cape Gannets from neighboring colonies. Marine Ecology Progress Series 268: 265-279.
HADLEY, G.L., ROTELLA, J.J. & GARROTT, R.A. 2007. Evaluation of reproductive costs for Weddell seals in Erebus Bay, Antarctica. Journal of Animal Ecology 76: 448-458.
HAMILTON, W.D. 1971. Geometry for the selfish herd. Journal of Theoretical Biology 31: 295-311.
HARDING, A., PAREDES, R., SURYAN, R.M. ET AL. 2013. Does location really matter? An inter-colony comparison of seabirds breeding at varying distances from productive oceanographic features in the Bering Sea. Deep-Sea Research Part II 94: 178-191.
HASSELL, M.P. 1975. Density-dependence in single-species populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 44: 283-295.
HATCH, S.A., ROBERTS, B.D. & FADELY, B.S. 1993. Adult survival of Black-legged Kittiwakes Rissa tridactyla at a Pacific colony. Ibis 135: 247-254.
HERNANDEZ-MATIAS, A., JOVER, L. & RUIZ, X. 2003. Predation on Common Tern eggs in relation to sub-colony size, nest aggregation and breeding synchrony. Waterbirds 26: 280-289.
HERRING RESEARCH AND MONITORING TEAM (HRMT) 2014. Pacific herring in Prince William Sound: A synthesis of recent findings. Science synthesis report for the Herring Research and Monitoring Program. Project 14120111 report for the Exxon Valdez Oil Spill (EVOS) Trustee Council. Anchorage, USA: EVOS. [Available online at http://pwssc.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/HRM-synthesis.pdf, accessed November 2016.]
HUNT, G.L., JR., EPPLEY, Z.A. & SCHNEIDER, D.C. 1986. Reproductive performance of seabirds: The importance of population and colony size. The Auk 103: 306-317.
JOINT INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF THE ATMOSPHERE AND OCEAN (JISAO) 2016 [Online]. University of Washington. [Available online at http://research.jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest.txt, accessed May 2016.]
KHARITONOV, S.P. & SIEGEL-CAUSEY, D. 1988. Colony formation in seabirds. In: JOHNSTON, R.F. (Ed.) Current Ornithology. Volume 5. Boston, USA: Springer.
KILDAW, S.D., IRONS, D.B., NYSEWANDER, D.R. & BUCK, C.L. 2005. Formation and growth of new seabird colonies: The significance of habitat quality. Marine Ornithology 33: 49-58.
KLOMP, N.I. & FURNESS, R.W. 1990. Variations in numbers of nonbreeding Great Skuas attending a colony. Ornis Scandinavica 21: 270-276.
KOKKO, H., HARRIS, M.P. & WANLESS, S. 2004. Competition for breeding sites and site-dependent population regulation in a highly colonial seabird, the common guillemot Uria aalge. Journal of Animal Ecology 73: 367-376.
LAAKE, J.L. 2013. RMark: An R Interface for Analysis of Capture-Recapture Data with MARK. AFSC Processed Report 2013-01. Seattle, USA: Alaska Fisheries Science Center, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service.
LAWSON, A.J., SEDINGER, J.S. & TAYLOR, E.J. 2017. Life history patterns, individual heterogeneity, and density dependence in breeding common goldeneyes of the northern boreal forest. Journal of Avian Biology 48: 597-610.
LEWIS, S., SHERRATT, T.N., HAMER, K.C. & WANLESS, S. 2001. Evidence of intra-specific competition for food in a pelagic seabird. Nature 412: 816-819.
LINK, W.A., COOCH, E.G. & CAM, E. 2002. Model-based estimation of individual fitness. Journal of Applied Statistics 29: 207-224.
MANGIN, S., GAUTHIER-CLERC, M., FRENOT, Y., GENDNER, J.-P. & LE MAHO, Y. 2003. Ticks Ixodes uriae and the breeding performance of a colonial seabird, king penguin Aptenodytes patagonicus. Journal of Avian Biology 34: 30-34.
MARTIN, E.T. 1995. Avian life history evolution in relation to nest sites, nest predation, and food. Ecological Monographs 65: 101-127.
MARTINEZ-ABRAIN, A., ORO, D., FORERO, M.G. & CONESA, D. 2003. Modeling temporal and spatial colony-site dynamics in a long-lived seabird. Population Ecology 45: 133-139.
MCKNIGHT, A. 2017. Population ecology of colonially breeding seabirds: How intrinsic processes, mediating influences, and individual heterogeneity affect population vital rates. PhD dissertation. Orono, USA: University of Maine.
MCKNIGHT, A., BLOMBERG, E.J., IRONS, D.B., LOFTIN, C.S. & MCKINNEY, S.T. 2019. Data from: Survival and recruitment dynamics of Black-legged Kittiwakes Rissa tridactyla at an Alaskan colony. Durham, USA: Dryad Digital Repository. doi:10.5061/dryad.ch2740k
MCKNIGHT, A., IRONS, D.B., ALLYN, A.J., SULLIVAN, K.M. & SURYAN, R.M. 2011. Winter dispersal and activity patterns of post-breeding black-legged kittiwakes Rissa tridactyla from Prince William Sound, Alaska. Marine Ecology Progress Series 442: 241-253.
MCKNIGHT, A., SULLIVAN, K.M., IRONS, D.B., STEPHENSEN, S.W. & HOWLIN, S. 2008. Marine bird and sea otter population abundance of Prince William Sound, Alaska: Trends following the T/V Exxon Valdez oil spill, 1989-2007. Exxon Valdez Oil Spill Restoration Project Annual Report (Restoration Project 070751). Anchorage, USA: US Fish and Wildlife Service.
MINIAS, P., KACZMAREK, K. & JANISZEWSKI, T. 2012. Distribution of pair quality in a tree-nesting waterbird colony: Central-periphery model vs. satellite model. Canadian Journal of Zoology 90: 861-867.
MOFFITT, S. 2016. Documentation of Pacific Herring (Clupea pallasii) milt from aerial surveys in the Prince William Sound Management Area, Alaska, 1973-2016. Anchorage, USA: Alaska Department of Fish and Game, Commercial Fisheries Division. [Available online at http://portal.aoos.org/?portal_id=4, accessed November 2016.]
MØLLER, A.P. 1987. Advantages and disadvantages of coloniality in the swallow, Hirundo rustica. Animal Behavior 35: 819-832.
NICHOLS, J.D. & KENDALL, W.L. 1995. The use of multi-state capture-recapture models to address questions in evolutionary ecology. Journal of Applied Statistics 22: 835-846.
ORELL, M. & BELDA, E.J. 2002. Delayed cost of reproduction and senescence in the Willow Tit Parus montanus. Journal of Animal Ecology 71: 55-64.
ORO, D. & FURNESS, R.W. 2002. Influences of food availability and predation on survival of kittiwakes. Ecology 83: 2516-2528.
ORO, D. & RUXTON, G.D. 2001. The formation and growth of seabird colonies: Audouin's Gull as a case study. Journal of Animal Ecology 70: 527-535.
PALECZNY, M., HAMMILL, E., KARPOUZI, V. & PAULY, D. 2015. Population trend of the world's monitored seabirds, 1950-2010. PLoS One 10: e0129342.
PAPINEAU, J.M. 2001. Wintertime temperature anomalies in Alaska correlated with ENSO and PDO. International Journal of Climatology 21: 1577-1592.
PAREDES, R., HARDING, A.M.A., IRONS, D.B. ET AL. 2012. Proximity to multiple foraging habitats enhances seabirds' resilience to local food shortages. Marine Ecology Progress Series 471: 253-269.
PIATT, J.F., HARDING, A.M.A., SHULTZ, M. ET AL. 2007. Seabirds as indicators of marine food supplies: Cairns revisited. Marine Ecology Progress Series 352: 221-234.
PONCHON, A., CHAMBERT, T., LOBATO, E., TVERAA, T., GRÉMILLET, D. & BOULINIER, T. 2015. Breeding failure induces large scale prospecting movements in the black-legged kittiwake. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology 473: 138-145.
PONCHON, A., ILISZKO, L., GRÉMILLET, D., TVERAA, T. & BOULINIER, T. 2017. Intense prospecting movements of failed breeders nesting in an unsuccessful breeding subcolony. Animal Behaviour 124: 183-191.
PONCHON, A., CHOQUET, R., TORNOS, J., MCCOY, K.D., TVERAA, T. & BOULINIER, T. 2018. Survival estimates strongly depend on capture-recapture designs in a disturbed environment inducing dispersal. Ecography 41: 1-12.
PORTER, J.M. & COULSON, J.C. 1987. Long-term changes in recruitment to the breeding group, and the quality of recruits at a Kittiwake Rissa tridactyla colony. Journal of Animal Ecology 56: 675-689.
PYK, T.M., WESTON, M.A., BUNCE, A. & NORMAN, F.I. 2013. Establishment and development of a seabird colony: Long-term trends in phenology, breeding success, recruitment, breeding density and demography. Journal of Ornithology 154: 299-310.
PYLE, P., SYDEMAN, W.J. & HESTER, M. 2001. Effects of age, breeding experience, mate fidelity and site fidelity on breeding performance in a declining population of Cassin's auklets. Journal of Animal Ecology 70: 1088-1097.
R CORE TEAM 2016. R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Vienna, Austria: R Foundation for Statistical Computing. [Available online at https://www.R-project.org/, accessed March 2017.)
REED, T.E., KRUUK, L.E., WANLESS, S., FREDERIKSEN, M., CUNNINGHAM, E.J. & HARRIS, M.P. 2008. Reproductive senescence in a long-lived seabird: Rates of decline in late-life performance are associated with varying costs of early reproduction. American Naturalist 171: E89-E101.
REGEHR, H.M. & MONTEVECCHI, W.A. 1997. Interactive effects of food shortage and predation on breeding failure of black-legged kittiwakes: Indirect effects of fisheries activities and implications for indicator species. Marine Ecology Progress Series 155: 249-260.
RENNER, H.M., MUETER, F., DRUMMOND, B.A., WARZYBOK, J.A. & SINCLAIR, E.H. 2012. Patterns of change in diets of two piscivorous seabird species during 35 years in the Pribilof Islands. Deep-Sea Research Part II 65-70: 273-291.
ROLLAND, C., DANCHIN, E. & DE FRAIPONT, M. 1998. The evolution of coloniality in birds in relation to food, habitat, predation, and life-history traits: A comparative analysis. American Naturalist 151: 514-529.
SÆTHER, B.-E., RINGSBY, T.H. & RØSKAFT, E. 1996. Life history variation, population processes and priorities in species conservation: Towards a reunion of research paradigms. Oikos 77: 217-226.
SCHJØRRING, S., GREGERSEN, J. & BREGNBALLE, T. 1999. Prospecting enhances breeding success of first-time breeders in the great cormorant, Phalacrocorax carbo sinensis. Animal Behaviour 57: 647-654.
STEARNS, S.C. 1992. The Evolution of Life Histories. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
STEINER, U.K. & GASTON, A.J. 2005. Reproductive consequences of natal dispersal in a highly philopatric seabird. Behavioral Ecology 16: 634-639.
SZOSTEK, K.L., SCHAUB, M. & BECKER, P.H. 2014. Immigrants are attracted by local pre-breeders and recruits in a seabird colony. Journal of Animal Ecology 83: 1015-1024.
TELLA, J.L., FORERO, M.G., BERTELLOTTI, M., DONÁZAR, J.A., BLANCO, G. & CEBALLOS, O. 2001. Offspring body condition and immunocompetence are negatively affected by high breeding densities in a colonial seabird: A multiscale approach. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 268: 1455-1461.
THIBAULT, J.-C. 1993. Natal philopatry in the Cory's Shearwater (Calonectris d. diomedea) on Lavezzi Island, Corsica. Colonial Waterbirds 16: 77-82.
VINCENZI, S. HATCH, S., MANGEL, M. & KITAYSKY, A. 2013. Food availability affects onset of reproduction in a long-lived seabird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 280: 20130554.
VINE, I. 1971. Risk of visual detection and pursuit by a predator and the selective advantage on flocking behavior. Journal of Theoretical Biology 30: 405-422.
WHITE, G.C. & BURNHAM, K.P. 1999. Program MARK: Survival estimation from populations of marked animals. Bird Study 46: S120-S139.
WITTENBURGER, J.F. & HUNT, G.L., JR. 1985. The adaptive significance of coloniality in birds. In FARNER, D.S., KING, J.R. & PARKES, K.C. (Eds.) Avian Biology (Volume VIII). New York, USA: Academic Press, Inc.
WHITTHAM, R.M. & LEONARD, M.L. 1999. Predation and breeding success in roseate terns (Sterna dougallii). Canadian Journal of Zoology 77: 851-856.
WOOLLER, R.D. & COULSON, J.C. 1977. Factors affecting the age of first breeding of the kittiwake Rissa tridactyla. Ibis 119: 339-349.
YOUNG, T.P. 1990. Evolution of semelparity in Mount Kenya lobelias. Evolutionary Ecology 4: 157-172.